The Exodus Enigma refers to the fact that while there is no archeological evidence supporting the Exodus account, 
the Biblical reckoning is so specific that it seems likely that there is at least a hint of truth to the story. 
Goshen, for example, appears to have been in 
the Eastern Nile Delta where excavations have uncovered evidence 
of Asiatic (i.e. Semitic) settlement. Further, the landslide described at the very end of the Exodus in 
Joshua Chapter 3 reads like a description of a rare natural event.
For the most part, the archaeology of the excavated towns and villages of Judea and Samaria do not show 
widespread destruction layers one would expect 
from the violent seven year conquest described in Joshua. They may show, instead, a transition 
from 
polytheistic Canaanites to monotheistic 
Canaanites who no longer reared 
and ate pigs. This naturally led to the conclusion by some that the proto Israelites were in fact Canaanites 
who adopted (over time) a monotheistic religion where the highest male God in their pantheon (El) 
became conflated with Yahweh the new personal name for the Generic El. However, the archaeology does allow that 
perhaps there was a migration of peoples from the south and southeast (Midian, Idumea, Sinai) 
who brought a monotheistic religion centered on Yahweh. Beyond that, there is scant archeological 
support for the biblical narrative of the influx of a large group of formerly Egyptian slaves after a 
40 year sojourn in the wilderness.
But in the 
third Chapter of Joshua we find the following
14So when the people broke camp to cross the Jordan, 
the priests carrying the ark of the covenant went ahead 
of them. 15Now the Jordan is at flood stage all during 
harvest. Yet as soon as the priests who carried the ark 
reached the Jordan and their feet touched the water’s edge, 
16the water from upstream stopped flowing. It piled up in a 
heap a great distance away, at a town called Adam in the 
vicinity of Zarethan, while the water flowing down to the 
Sea of the Arabah (that is, the Dead Sea) was completely 
cut off. So the people crossed over opposite Jericho. 
17The priests who carried the ark of the covenant of the 
Lord stopped in the middle of the Jordan and stood on dry 
ground, while all Israel passed by until the whole nation 
had completed the crossing on dry ground.
The bolded text is a description of a landslide creating a natural dam. 
In modern terms, it states that upstream at the town 
of 
Adam, the steep banks of the Jordan River collapsed forming a natural dam 
which caused the river downstream to dry up allowing the Israelites to 
cross the previously unpassable Jordan River. The last time something like this happened was in 1927 during the Jericho earthquake. 
The shaking from this earthquake caused the banks of the Jordan River to fail. A landslide dammed up the river and the Jordan ran dry 
for 22.5 hours (Avni, 1999 and Avni et al., 
2002).
13th century Arab chronicler 
al-Nuwayri 
wrote of another instance in 1266 AD (AH 664) 
when flood waters caused a bank collapse into the Jordan near the town of 
Damieh 
creating yet another natural dam. This also caused the river downstream to run dry. 
It has been noted that 
Damieh 
seems etymologically similar to 
Adam and, in 
fact, modern Arab names frequently preserve older names of towns and 
villages (e.g. 
Nablus is derived from the old Greek name Neopolis and 
Saffuriya 
is derived from the old name 
Sepphoris). 
The map to the right illustrates 
the geography at the time of the Exodus combined with 1266 AD.
There is another report of the Jordan River running dry in 1546 AD 
associated with a large earthquake that struck the area. For this 
occurrence, we have as a source 18 lines of Hebrew text written by an 
anonymous author and appended to a booklet titled Ot Nafshi.
On Thursday llth, of the month Shevat, year Hashav [14 January 1541], 
at one in the afternoon, there was a great earthquake and there was 
almost total destruction of Jerusalem,
…
And the gentiles report that the river Jordan is dry and they 
crossed it on dry land and that this lasted three days. Worse
 than the fall of their houses, they lamented their [loss of] water, … 
 which turned into blood for three or four days. And… the Jordan was 
 dry and desolate because two big hills fell into the river, and others 
 say that the earth cracked and swallowed up the waters of the Jordan.
Thus, in addition to Joshua 3, we have four more reports of the natural damming of the Jordan River in
indicating that the description in 
Joshua 3 is both plausible 
and extremely rare strongly suggesting that it actually occurred. Whether it 
occurred with the timing reported in Joshua cannot be known until a search is 
performed to examine landslide history on the River Jordan in the Exodus 
time window (~1560 BC – ~1150 BC). Perhaps one of the reasons the other 
clues for the Exodus have confounded archeologists and historians is that 
we don’t know precisely when in this ~400 year time window,  the Exodus occurred. 
If we could date Jordan River landslides during this Exodus window, we might be able 
to identify when the Exodus actually happened.
        
        Exploration Strategy
        
        
            
Although optical luminescence dating can be used to date landslide scars in the vicinity of Damieh, 
that might be a bit like searching for a needle in a haystack so it might be better to concentrate initial 
efforts in identifying landslide deposits downstream of Damieh. 
The first step would involve 
identifying a landslide deposit signature using known events – e.g. the earthquakes of 1546 AD and 1927 AD. 
The seismites from these earthquakes should be identifiable via radiocarbon dating combined with seasonal palynology.
Next comes the (admittedly difficult) task of identifying the landslide deposit. After the dammed water 
breaks through it will carry the sediment downstream. Since the landslides are caused by a collapse of 
the soft Pleistocene Lisan formation which makes up the river banks near Damieh, the key would be to 
identify reworked Lisan formation landslide deposits from normal Holocene Deposition. 
Stein et al. (1997) 
examined geochemical differences between the two deposits in order to 
better understand the evolution of the Dead Sea water body and this work suggests several 
ways to distinguish the deposits including (but not limited to)
- thin section work
- Micro X Ray Fluorescence scanning to look at Trace Element Geochemistry
- Sr87/Sr86 isotope ratios
- Sr/Ca ratios
Figure 5 from 
Stein et al. (1997) is reproduced below

Once a landslide deposit “signature” is developed, we can search for landslide deposits in the Exodus 
time window (~1150 BC – ~1560 BC). Of particular initial interest would be the ~1550 BC Jordan Valley 
Earthquake that may explain the tilted walls and ash layer Kathleen Kenyon identified while digging up Jericho at the end 
of the Middle Bronze age. Jericho was abandoned for many hundreds of years after this event.
This is also supported by Josephus who reports that Manetho in writing about Egyptian History 
(in a text that is now lost and only quoted in other peoples works) states that the Exodus 
occurred in ~1600 BC and coincided with the expulsion of the 
Hyksos – a semitic people 
believed to have come from Canaan who ruled Egypt during the 15th dynasty. 1560 BC is 40 years after 1600 BC.
That said, as Exodus is a confounding enigma, I think the entire potential Exodus time window should be searched without presumption.
 
Landslide caused by Floods
The 1266 AD damming of the Jordan was caused by flooding and the account in 
Joshua 3 mentions that the flood waters were high when the natural damming 
occurred. Hence, it would also be useful to look into a flood signature such as from
- increased amounts of the trace element Mn due to increased dilution of the 
saline upper water body in the Dead Sea causing a change in the oxidation state of Mn
- the Sulfur Cycle 
(Torfstein, 2008)
- increased aragonite deposition due to an influx of bicarbonates 
(Stein et. al, 1997)
- palynolgy could also be used since the account in Joshua mentions the time of year (Harvest)
References